American States Water Stock Performance

AWR Stock  USD 76.99  0.60  0.79%   
American States has a performance score of 7 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.2, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning American States are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, American States is likely to outperform the market. American States Water right now shows a risk of 1.12%. Please confirm American States Water standard deviation, expected short fall, period momentum indicator, as well as the relationship between the maximum drawdown and rate of daily change , to decide if American States Water will be following its price patterns.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in American States Water are ranked lower than 7 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Even with relatively unsteady basic indicators, American States may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in April 2026. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
2.14
Five Day Return
2.3
Year To Date Return
5.72
Ten Year Return
84.21
All Time Return
K
Forward Dividend Yield
0.027
Payout Ratio
0.5876
Last Split Factor
2:1
Forward Dividend Rate
2.02
Dividend Date
2026-03-05
1
Acquisition by Sunil Pillai of 706 shares of American States subject to Rule 16b-3
12/19/2025
2
Did A US32 Million 2026 Rate Hike Approval Just Shift American States Waters Investment Narrative
01/14/2026
3
Movement Recap Is American States Water Company forming a breakout pattern - Quarterly Performance Summary Free Daily Entry Point Trade Alerts - baoquankhu1.vn
01/20/2026
4
Does American States Water Offer Value After Flat Returns And Mixed Valuation Signals
01/28/2026
5
Disposition of tradable shares by Anne Holloway of American States subject to Rule 16b-3
02/02/2026
6
Shareholders in American States Water are in the red if they invested three years ago
02/03/2026
7
American States Water declares 0.504 dividend
02/11/2026
8
Earnings Summary American States Water Q4
02/18/2026
9
American States Water Q4 Earnings Call Highlights
02/19/2026
10
Disposition of 101 shares by Patrick Kubiak of American States at 78.01 subject to Rule 16b-3
02/23/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow26.7 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-237.5 M

American States Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  7,194  in American States Water on December 4, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  445.00  from holding American States Water or generate 6.19% return on investment over 90 days. American States Water is generating 0.1062% of daily returns assuming volatility of 1.115% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 10% of stocks are less volatile than American, and above 98% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon American States is expected to generate 1.46 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 1.46 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.1 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.03 per unit of risk.

American States Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of American Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 76.99 90 days 76.99 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of American States to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This American States Water probability density function shows the probability of American Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon American States Water has a beta of -0.2. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding American States are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, American States Water is likely to outperform the market. Additionally American States Water has an alpha of 0.0565, implying that it can generate a 0.0565 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   American States Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for American States

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as American States Water. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of American States' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
75.2276.3477.46
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
66.2567.3784.03
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
76.6177.7378.84
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
65.5272.0079.92
Details

American States Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. American States is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the American States' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold American States Water, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of American States within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.2
σ
Overall volatility
1.30
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

American States Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of American States for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for American States Water can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
American States Water has 942.78 M in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.99, which is OK given its current industry classification. American States Water has a current ratio of 0.36, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Nevertheless, prudent borrowing could serve as an effective mechanism for American to finance growth opportunities yielding strong returns.
Over 85.0% of American States shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Disposition of 101 shares by Patrick Kubiak of American States at 78.01 subject to Rule 16b-3

American States Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of American Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential American States' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. American States' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding38.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments18.8 M

American States Fundamentals Growth

American Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of American States, and American States fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on American Stock performance.

About American States Performance

Assessing American States' fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into American States' financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the American States is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 18.48  12.18 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.05  0.03 
Return On Capital Employed 0.08  0.07 
Return On Assets 0.05  0.03 
Return On Equity 0.12  0.08 

Things to note about American States Water performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about American States for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for American States Water help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
American States Water has 942.78 M in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.99, which is OK given its current industry classification. American States Water has a current ratio of 0.36, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Nevertheless, prudent borrowing could serve as an effective mechanism for American to finance growth opportunities yielding strong returns.
Over 85.0% of American States shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Disposition of 101 shares by Patrick Kubiak of American States at 78.01 subject to Rule 16b-3
Evaluating American States' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate American States' stock performance include:
  • Analyzing American States' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether American States' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining American States' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating American States' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of American States' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of American States' stock. These opinions can provide insight into American States' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating American States' stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact American States' stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for American Stock Analysis

When running American States' price analysis, check to measure American States' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy American States is operating at the current time. Most of American States' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of American States' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move American States' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of American States to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.